Live window

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

2:08

SIT

No high-conviction print. BTC -4.9 bp · Up 30¢ / Down 71¢. Waiting for a monster or a clean 30–50¢.

Min bet

$5.00

Exact FAK size · sleeves cannot exceed this

Manual bet

Each FAK is this size — manual and sleeves. Not a percent of cash.

Genesis

Armed

SIT

sit

Oracle

Armed

SITDown

not-cheap

Hybrid

Armed

SITDown

no-rotate

BTC vs open

69,817.61 -4.9 bps

open 69,851.80 · coinbase

p(Up) / p(Down)

24% / 76%

Lean / momentum

Down · flat

Last action

SIT · Down ask 60¢ is above 55¢. Not a gift. BTC -1.4 bp · Up 41¢ / Down 60¢

Upask 30¢p 24%edge -6¢

Downask 71¢p 76%edge +5¢

tape live

Next 3 windows

Genesis · Oracle · Hybrid paper

Now

2:08 left

2:55 AM–3:00 AM ET

SITlean Down

Up 30¢ / Down 71¢ · -4.9 bps

GenesisSIT Down
No high-conviction print. BTC -4.9 bp · Up 30¢ / Down 71¢. Waiting for a monster or a clean 30–50¢.
OracleSIT Down
Oracle sees Down but 71¢ is not a cheap winner. BTC -4.9 bp · Up 30¢ / Down 71¢
HybridSIT Down
Hybrid will not rotate into 71¢ Down. BTC -4.9 bp · Up 30¢ / Down 71¢

Live window. Armed sleeves may fire one FAK here.

+5 min

opens in 2:08

3:00 AM–3:05 AM ET

SIT

Up 50¢ / Down 51¢ · carry 0.0 bps

GenesisSIT
Watching. BTC +0.0 bp · Up 50¢ / Down 51¢. Waiting for a 30–50¢ (or better) with lean + book.
OracleSIT
Chainlink too close to call. BTC +0.0 bp · Up 50¢ / Down 51¢. Oracle sits mixed tape.
HybridSIT
Hybrid watching. BTC +0.0 bp · Up 50¢ / Down 51¢. No early cheap / jump / lag / confirm yet.

Paper only. Sleeves read this book as if it just opened on the live tape. Nothing posts until this clock is live.

+10 min

opens in 7:08

3:05 AM–3:10 AM ET

SIT

Up 51¢ / Down 50¢ · carry 0.0 bps

GenesisSIT
Watching. BTC +0.0 bp · Up 51¢ / Down 50¢. Waiting for a 30–50¢ (or better) with lean + book.
OracleSIT
Chainlink too close to call. BTC +0.0 bp · Up 51¢ / Down 50¢. Oracle sits mixed tape.
HybridSIT
Hybrid watching. BTC +0.0 bp · Up 51¢ / Down 50¢. No early cheap / jump / lag / confirm yet.

Paper only. Sleeves read this book as if it just opened on the live tape. Nothing posts until this clock is live.

Up

ask 30¢ · p 24% · γ 23¢

Asks

30¢59.1
31¢126.0
32¢204.3
33¢356.4
34¢232.3
35¢207.3

Bids

29¢295.8
28¢108.2
27¢132.0
26¢220.0
25¢273.1
24¢196.1

Down

ask 71¢ · p 76% · γ 78¢

Asks

71¢279.8
72¢108.2
73¢132.0
74¢220.0
75¢273.1
76¢196.1

Bids

70¢59.1
69¢126.0
68¢204.3
67¢356.4
66¢232.3
65¢207.3

Tape

Connected

SIT
Down ask 60¢ is above 55¢. Not a gift. BTC -1.4 bp · Up 41¢ / Down 60¢
SIT
Book is empty on one side. Waiting.
SIT
Book is empty on one side. Waiting.
SIT
Blown dog. BTC +7.6 bp · Up 87¢ / Down 14¢. Sitting ≤22¢ vs ≥78¢.
SIT
Blown dog. BTC +7.1 bp · Up 88¢ / Down 13¢. Sitting ≤22¢ vs ≥78¢.
SIT
Blown dog. BTC +6.9 bp · Up 91¢ / Down 10¢. Sitting ≤22¢ vs ≥78¢.
SIT
Blown dog. BTC +6.0 bp · Up 90¢ / Down 11¢. Sitting ≤22¢ vs ≥78¢.
SIT
Blown dog. BTC +5.1 bp · Up 85¢ / Down 16¢. Sitting ≤22¢ vs ≥78¢.